Focusing on Winning Future Wars, Strengthening Strategic Evaluation ■ Introduction of the Strategic Evaluation and Consulting Center of the Academy of Military Sciences. As an important basis and support for strategic decision-making, strategic evaluation should focus on winning future wars, fully recognize development trends, scientifically establish target orientation, actively explore path methods, innovate and form a strategic evaluation system with our military characteristics, and strive to provide strong support for improving military governance level and building a world-class military. Understanding the development trend of strategic evaluation based on historical war practice is an important prerequisite for grasping the characteristics of things. Throughout the history of world war, strategic evaluation has always developed with the development of military theory and military transformation, leading to strategic battles between the enemy and ourselves. From China's domestic situation to the global situation, from modern times to the current era, all previous wars cannot be separated from strategic evaluations of different forms. From the perspective of China's war history, strategic evaluation is the wisdom crystallization of military strategists of all ages. Strategic evaluation, although a hot topic in recent years, is often involved in ancient Chinese military techniques. During the Spring and Autumn period, Sun Tzu's Art of War proposed the concept of "calculating based on calculation, and exploring the situation", which evaluates the strength of both sides through quantitative methods. It evaluates the victory or defeat of wars through "degree, quantity, number, scale, and victory". By examining "who has the right to lead, who has the ability to lead, who has the heaven and earth, who has the laws and regulations, who is strong among the soldiers, who is trained among the soldiers, and who is wise in rewards and punishments", a combination of qualitative and quantitative analysis is used to analyze who will win, reflecting the decision-making and operation before the war The concept of war calculation and evaluation. During the long-term revolutionary war in our country, Comrade Mao Zedong and other older generations of military strategists have always attached great importance to scientific evaluation and analysis of the situation of both the enemy and ourselves in the formulation and implementation of war strategies. After the failure of the Great Revolution, Comrade Mao Zedong published "A single spark can start a prairie fire" and "Oppose essentialism", analyzing and making strategic decisions to surround cities from rural areas, and completely reversing the unfavorable situation of the Chinese revolution; In the early stages of the War of Resistance Against Japan, Comrade Mao Zedong published "On Enduring War", which dynamically and hierarchically evaluated the strength and development trends of China and Japan from the aspects of war nature, comprehensive national strength, international support, and combat style. The conclusion of a lasting war was drawn, and the War of Resistance Against Japan was divided into three stages: strategic defense, strategic stalemate, and strategic counterattack, greatly enhancing the confidence of the Chinese people; In the early stages of the Liberation War, based on the consumption of troops from both the enemy and ourselves and supplementary data on personnel, Comrade Mao Zedong proposed the principle of concentrated troops in the war of annihilation, pointed out the possibility of annihilating a certain number of enemies on average per month, predicted the timetable for winning the Liberation War, and fully reflected the evaluation wisdom of the older generation of military experts. From the perspective of world war history, the role of strategic evaluation in supporting war continues to strengthen. In the era of cold and hot weapons, due to technological limitations, strategic evaluation mainly relied on the commander's combat experience or research on past wars, with a rough "descriptive" approach. With the development of war practice, especially after World War II, strategic evaluation represented by the United States' "net evaluation" has emerged, highlighting "measurability" and "judgment", and the supporting position of strategic evaluation in war has gradually strengthened. During the Cold War, the US military focused on assessing strategic threats, comparing the strengths and weaknesses of US and Soviet military capabilities, and analyzing the military, technological, political, and economic factors that affect the achievement of national security goals, which played an important role in ultimately winning the Cold War for the US. US military clearance