2024-08-08
In November 2023, the U.S. and the Philippines reportedly conducted their first joint air and sea patrols in the South China Sea since 2016, and in April 2024, Japan, the U.S., Australia, and the Philippines held their first joint maritime exercise in the South China Sea. In this week alone, there are two "firsts," including the first joint Philippine-Japanese exercise in the South China Sea and the ongoing first joint Philippine-U.S.-Canadian-Australian exercise in the South China Sea.
In response to such moves, the Southern Theater of Operations (STO) made a succinct response on the 7th: all military activities that stir up the South China Sea, create hotspots, and undermine regional peace and stability are under control.
"Among these extra-territorial countries, there is no doubt that the United States is the biggest external factor stirring up the regional situation." Ding Duo believes that the U.S. push for small multilateral mechanisms and bloc confrontation is rooted in its deep-rooted Cold War thinking and misperceived positioning of China. Ding Duo said, "The U.S. does not have many means to intervene in the South China Sea, and can only demonstrate deterrence through joint cruises and joint military exercises. But history and reality have shown that the U.S. this set of China can not play any role, will not have any substantive impact on China's claims and initiatives to protect rights, will only strengthen China's determination to safeguard its own sovereignty, security and development interests in the South China Sea."
Public reports show that most of the exercises implemented by the Philippines and extra-territorial countries in the South China Sea region are only symbolic. The Global Times reporter combed through the last three so-called exercises: the Philippines and the United States held a joint exercise on July 31 in which only two ships participated; the Philippines and Japan held their first joint exercise on the 2nd of this month in which only two ships participated; and in the latest Philippine-U.S.-Canada-Australia exercise held on the 7th of this month, a total of four ships participated, and the Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) reported that Australia didn't send any ships to participate in the exercise, and only deployed a The Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) reported that the Australian side did not send any ships to participate in the exercise, but only deployed a P-8 surveillance aircraft.
Zhang Junsha analyzed: "From the Philippine point of view, whether it is ships or command and control system with the United States and Japan and other countries have a big gap, can not implement effective joint operations, more is the hope that through this exercise to make the outside world that the United States and Japan and other countries are behind the scenes supporters, for its own provocative actions to strengthen the courage."
Zhang Junshe further analyzed that, in fact, these extraterritorial countries in the South China Sea issue will not draw fire, in order to the Philippines in the fire, "which the United States and Japan can be said to have the ability to give a helping hand to the Philippines, but these two countries do not have enough willingness to only want to let the Philippines to charge into the battlefield, they will not be thrown into it; and Canada, this kind of countries have neither the will nor the ability to, they sent a ship from far away to escort a ship. They sent a frigate from thousands of miles away is the best portrayal, this ship in the Asia-Pacific region can only brush the sense of presence, its combat capability is not worth mentioning." (Outlook News Agency)
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