Feng Xuming: Overcoming Difficulties and Expanding the Advantages of New Energy Vehicles

2024-08-08

In the first half of this year, China's new energy vehicle industry continued to maintain a high-speed growth momentum. According to the latest data released by the Association of Automobile Manufacturers, the production and sales of new energy vehicles in China reached 4.929 million and 4.944 million respectively in the first half of the year, with year-on-year growth rates of 30.1% and 32%, respectively. As of June, the market share of new energy vehicles reached 41.1%. While experiencing rapid growth in scale, the new energy vehicle industry also presented many highlights in the first half of the year. Continuous iteration and upgrading of battery related technologies have significantly alleviated range anxiety. According to testing reports from professional organizations, the average range of pure electric vehicle models tested this summer reached about 500 kilometers, with a 5% increase in range achievement rate compared to 2023. In terms of hybrid technology, some companies have released dual-mode hybrid systems that enable related models to achieve a range of 2000 kilometers, with a global leading level of technology. Overall, in previous years, consumers' concerns about the range of new energy vehicles have been significantly alleviated. The intelligent networking revolution is accelerating, and commercial applications such as autonomous driving are gradually being implemented. In January of this year, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and five other departments jointly issued a notice on the pilot work of "vehicle road cloud integration" application for intelligent connected vehicles. In early July, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and five other departments jointly issued a notice on announcing the list of pilot cities for the "vehicle road cloud integration" application of intelligent connected vehicles. 20 cities including Beijing, Shanghai, Chongqing, Wuhan, Shenzhen, and Ordos were selected. Technological breakthroughs in the field of intelligent connected vehicles continue to emerge, promoting the formation of an efficient collaborative system based on vehicles, roads, clouds, networks, and graphs. Applications such as autonomous taxis and logistics delivery are accelerating their commercialization and promotion in real-life scenarios in some cities. The construction of battery swapping infrastructure is accelerating, and new energy vehicles are deeply integrated with the power grid. Compared with charging mode, battery swapping mode has the advantages of flexibility and convenience, fast battery swapping speed, strong battery scalability, and richer commercial profit channels. The main challenge it faces is high infrastructure construction costs. Driven by some enterprises and guided by national policies, more and more new energy vehicle companies are beginning to layout battery swapping models, and the pace of infrastructure construction such as battery swapping stations is accelerating. In January of this year, the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration jointly issued the "Guiding Opinions on Strengthening the Construction of Peak shaving Energy Storage and Intelligent Dispatch Capacity in the Power Grid", which clearly proposed to explore the construction of user side energy storage facilities such as electric vehicles, promote the participation of electric vehicles in power system regulation through various forms such as orderly charging, vehicle network interaction, and battery swapping modes, and explore the flexible regulation capabilities of users; Support the grid connection of adjustable resources such as electric vehicles, enhance the resource allocation capability of the distribution network, and improve the on-site consumption level of new energy. These policies have sent a positive signal to accelerate the development of new energy vehicle battery swapping models. It can be foreseen that the large-scale deployment of battery swapping modes is becoming a common trend, and in the future, battery swapping and charging modes will complement each other, better assisting in the deep integration of automotive charging and swapping with the power grid. Driven by both export and investment, the overseas market is steadily expanding. Driven by the new energy revolution in the automotive industry, China's independent brand cars have set sail through two channels: export and investment, becoming an increasingly influential new force in the international automotive market. In terms of international trade, China exported a total of 605000 new energy vehicles in the first half of this year, a year-on-year increase of 13.2%; In terms of international investment, a number of Chinese automobile manufacturing enterprises and parts enterprises have invested overseas. For example, BYD has set up factories in Türkiye, GAC Aian has set up factories in Thailand, and Ningde Times has set up factories in Hungary. They have further integrated into the international market through green land investment or mergers and acquisitions. Currently, the development of the new energy vehicle industry also faces some prominent challenges. Firstly, the competition in the domestic market has intensified, and the overall pressure on enterprise operations has increased. On the one hand, the increasing intensity of market competition is a natural phenomenon of industrial development reaching a certain stage, and it is also a reflection of market vitality. On the other hand, if the industry is trapped in a long-term price war, a large number of enterprises will find it difficult to achieve profitability, which is not conducive to independent technological innovation and the healthy and sustainable development of the industry. Secondly, the overseas market environment is complex and ever-changing. The US and European countries have raised the import threshold and blocked the development of new energy vehicles in China by imposing tariffs and tightening restrictions on the origin of components. At the same time, there is still uncertainty in the technological roadmap and market landscape. The competition between domestic and foreign leading car companies around key core technologies such as autonomous driving and range capability is becoming increasingly fierce. The competition between different technological routes may greatly affect or even reshape the market landscape in the future, increasing the uncertainty of industry development. In summary, the development of the new energy vehicle industry has entered the accelerated stage of the "S-shaped" curve of the industry lifecycle. While maintaining high-speed growth in production and sales, with frequent highlights, market and technological competition have become increasingly fierce. Only by continuously increasing technological innovation, enhancing sensitivity to meet consumer needs, and improving international comprehensive operational capabilities can we occupy a more advantageous position in the upcoming domestic and international market competition. (New Society)

Edit:Xiong Dafei    Responsible editor:LI Xiang

Source:China.org.cn

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