Looking Forward to the Four Major Trends of Artificial Intelligence in 2024

2024-01-04

In 2023, the world witnessed the global fire of ChatGPT. The emergence of a new generation of artificial intelligence, represented by generative artificial intelligence, has changed the development trajectory of artificial intelligence (AI) technology and applications, accelerated the interaction process between humans and AI, and is a new milestone in the history of AI development. What trends will the development of artificial intelligence technology and applications present in 2024? Let's look forward to these significant trends that are worth paying attention to together. Trend 1: Moving from AI big models to general artificial intelligence. In 2023, ChatGPT developer OpenAI has been placed in an unprecedented spotlight, which has also pushed the development of subsequent versions of GPT-4 to the forefront. According to sources, OpenAI is currently training the next generation of artificial intelligence, tentatively named "Q *" (pronounced as Q star). In the new year, the next generation of OpenAI products may be released. According to media reports, "Q *" may be the first artificial intelligence trained using a "start from scratch" approach. Its characteristic is that intelligence does not come from human activity data, and it has the ability to modify its own code to adapt to more complex learning tasks. The former makes the development of artificial intelligence capabilities increasingly opaque, while the latter has always been seen as a necessary condition for the birth of the singularity of artificial intelligence. In the field of artificial intelligence development, "singularity" specifically refers to the ability of machines to self iterate, leading to rapid development in a short period of time and exceeding human control. Although some reports suggest that "Q *" can only solve math problems of elementary school difficulty, it is still far from the singularity. However, given that the iteration speed of artificial intelligence in virtual environments may far exceed imagination, it is still possible for AI to independently develop AI that can surpass human level in various fields in the near future. In 2023, OpenAI predicts that artificial intelligence that surpasses human level in all aspects will emerge within ten years; NVIDIA founder Huang Renxun stated that General Artificial Intelligence may surpass humans within five years. Once universal artificial intelligence is realized, it can be used to solve various complex scientific problems, such as searching for extraterrestrial beings and habitable galaxies, controlling artificial nuclear fusion, screening nano or superconducting materials, and developing anti-cancer drugs. These problems usually require decades of human researchers to find new solutions, and the research volume in some cutting-edge fields has exceeded the limit of manpower. General artificial intelligence has almost unlimited time and energy in its own virtual world, which makes it a potential substitute for human researchers in some easily virtualized tasks. But at that time, how humans can supervise these artificial intelligence that surpass humans in terms of intelligence, ensuring that they do not harm humans, is another question worth considering. Of course, we should not overestimate some of the statements made by Silicon Valley giants, because in the history of artificial intelligence development, there have been three "AI winters", among which there are examples of grand technological visions being dashed due to various limitations. But what is currently certain is that there is still considerable room for improvement in large model technology. Except for GPT-4, Google's Gemini and Aerospace's Claude2 are currently both

Edit:Hu Sen Ming    Responsible editor:Li Xi

Source:XinhuaNet

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