According to a report on the website of the Star Spangled Banner on November 23, the analysis said that the naval strategy of reducing the number of ships in the near future is full of risks. According to the report, naval analysts said that the Navy's strategy of eliminating old ships and making way for a larger and more lethal fleet is unrealistic, and may even hinder its coping ability in the long-term confrontation with China. According to a recent report of the Congressional Budget Office, the ship building plan in 2023 underestimates the cost of replacing destroyers and submarines that will be decommissioned in the next few years. According to the report, in general, in the next 10 years, the number of cruisers, destroyers and submarines retired by the Navy will exceed the number of ships in service. The report estimates that, as a result, by 2032, the lethality of the US Navy fleet - to some extent, measured by the total number of missile launching units - will have decreased by 13 per cent. The United States Navy estimates that in the next 30 years, the Navy will spend an average of 23 billion to 25 billion dollars annually on building ships. However, the Congressional Budget Office says the cost is closer to the $30 billion to $33 billion annual range. According to the report, the Navy's plan calls for an average of 23% to 35% higher annual funding for ship building than in the past five years. Brian Clark, from the Defense Concept and Technology Center of the Hudson Institute, said: "The problem is that new ships are too expensive to purchase as many ships as the navy wants, which means that the improvement of lethality may never be achieved." He said, for example, the Navy may not be able to purchase about two next-generation destroyers every year, but only one, which means that the fleet will be rebuilt more slowly than expected. In addition, Clark said that in a protracted situation, a small number of ships may lead to a decline in naval influence. Clark said: "The idea of downsizing and leaving only the most capable troops assumes that you will be warned that the upcoming event is an invasion and you can intervene quickly. But it does not assume that the navy will play a role in a longer-term conflict, nor even that it will play a role in daily deterrence." (Outlook New Times)