China's economy is expected to "heat up" (Rui Finance)

2022-10-11

On October 9, the People's Bank of China released the latest questionnaire survey report on entrepreneurs, bankers and urban depositors in the third quarter of 2022. Among them, the entrepreneurs' macroeconomic heat index was 26.9%, up 0.4 percentage points over the previous quarter. On the whole, the interviewees' confidence in the sustainable and stable development of China's economy has increased, and their expectation of "warming up" of China's economy has increased. Residents' confidence in employment income has been boosted. A survey of 20000 urban depositors conducted by the Central Bank in 50 cities across the country shows that residents' confidence and expectations have been boosted. On the one hand, the employment expectation index has rebounded. The central bank survey showed that the employment perception index in the third quarter was 35.4%, down 0.2 percentage points from the previous quarter. Among them, 9.7% of the residents think "the situation is good and employment is easy", 45.1% of the residents think "average", and 45.2% of the residents think "the situation is serious and employment is difficult" or "uncertain". The expected employment index was 45.3%, up 0.8 percentage points over the previous quarter. On the other hand, the income perception index has changed from a decline to an increase. The central bank survey showed that the income perception index in the third quarter was 47%, up 2.5 percentage points over the previous quarter. Among them, 12.2% of residents believed that their income had "increased", 1.4 percentage points higher than the previous quarter; 69.7% of residents believed that their income was "basically unchanged", an increase of 2.2 percentage points over the previous quarter; 18.1% of residents believed that their income was "reduced", 3.6 percentage points less than that of the previous quarter. The income confidence index was 46.5%, up 0.8 percentage points over the previous quarter. According to the data from the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, from January to July, all localities reduced unemployment and work-related injury insurance rates, reducing the burden on enterprises by more than 100 billion yuan; Over 66 billion yuan has been delayed in payment of three social security policies, namely, phased deferred pension, unemployment and work-related injury, for four months; From January to August, local governments have distributed 64.63 billion yuan of stable post funds to 11.201 million secondary enterprises. The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security said that it would continue to strengthen the employment priority policy and strive to achieve more full and high-quality employment. The overall demand index for loans rose in the third quarter of this year. The central bank's questionnaire survey on national bankers showed that the bankers' macroeconomic heat index was 19.9%, 2.1 percentage points higher than that of the previous quarter, realizing a transition from a decline to an increase. The boom index of the banking industry rose slightly. The banking climate index was 66.4%, up 0.4 percentage points over the previous quarter and down 3.6 percentage points over the same period of last year. The bank profitability index was 62.3%, up 2.2 percentage points over the previous quarter and down 2.8 percentage points over the same period of last year. The overall demand index for loans rose. The overall demand index for loans was 59%, 2.4 percentage points higher than the previous quarter. By industry, the manufacturing loan demand index was 60.6%, up 1 percentage point from the previous quarter; The demand index for infrastructure loans was 61.3%, up 2.9 percentage points over the previous quarter; The wholesale and retail loan demand index was 56.3%, up 2.5 percentage points over the previous quarter. The monetary policy perception index rose to a high level. The monetary policy perception index was 72.3%, 3 percentage points higher than that of the previous quarter

Edit:Yi Bing    Responsible editor:Wei Li Bin

Source:people.com.cn

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