The 20th presidential election of South Korea will be held on March 9. At present, Li Zaiming, the presidential candidate of the ruling co Democratic Party, and Yin Xiyue, the presidential candidate of the largest opposition National Power Party, have formed a situation of competition between the two powers. Analysts pointed out that the election situation is tight. At present, Li Zaiming and Yin Xiyue have not obtained an overwhelming advantage. The final choice of middle-aged and young voters may become an important factor affecting the current presidential election. The "prior voting" rate reached a new high South Korea held a "prior vote" in the 20th presidential election from April 4 to 5. The voting rate of "prior voting" announced by the central election Management Commission on the 5th reached 36.9%, a record high. "Prior voting" refers to the system that allows voters who may be absent from voting on the election day to exercise their voting rights in advance. This is designed to improve voters' enthusiasm for voting, and the number of votes will be included in the final voting results of the election. In 2017, South Korea adopted this system in the presidential election for the first time. Public opinion analysis in South Korea believes that the record high rate of "prior voting" shows that on the one hand, the people are enthusiastic about voting and participating in the presidential election; On the other hand, this result is also the objective reason why people tend to avoid personnel gathering under the severe epidemic situation in South Korea. On the 3rd of this month, Yin Xiyue and National Party presidential candidate an Zhexiu jointly held a press conference. Lightning announced the joint promotion of a single candidate and said it would promote the merger of the two parties immediately after the election. An Zhexiu then submitted a letter of withdrawal to the central election Management Commission. This adds more uncertainty to the already complicated election. At present, both the common Democratic Party and the national power party say that high turnout is beneficial to their own side. The common Democratic Party said that the day before the "prior voting" began, the candidates of the opposition parties announced that they would jointly launch a single candidate, which aroused public disgust and had the effect of transferring some votes to the common Democratic Party; The national power party believes that the people's active participation in the voting reflects the people's desire to realize the change of political power and the unity of the younger generation. Jin Yunzhe, a professor at Qingxi University, said that with the final voting day approaching, the competition between the two parties for candidates has become white hot. However, voters who have not yet voted have not clearly indicated who they support, so it is difficult to determine which side is more favorable to have a high "prior voting" rate. The result of the election is hard to predict A number of recent polls show that Yin Xiyue has a high support rate among people over the age of 60, Li Zaiming has a high support rate among people aged 40 to 59, and the two have similar support rates among middle-aged and young voters. As swing voters, young and middle-aged voters in South Korea generally call for social fairness and justice and attach importance to policies related to their own interests. Where their votes will eventually flow will become a crucial variable affecting the current presidential election. Li Kangrun, director of the South Korean Institute of public opinion, believes that in the previous South Korean presidential election, the victory or defeat is generally determined a week before the final voting day, and what is uncertain is just how much advantage the candidate wins. However, the presidential election is stuck and the result is difficult to predict. Public opinion generally believes that if the opposition party launches a single candidate and can get more support from voters demanding "regime change", Yin Xiyue may get rid of the situation of being close to Li Zaiming and get more votes. However, due to the relatively scattered votes supporting an Zhexiu, the synergy caused by "simplification" is expected to be relatively limited. At present, both the ruling and opposition parties are cautious about predicting the election results. Yu Xianghu, the general director of the election countermeasures Committee of the common Democratic Party, said in a radio program on the 2nd that the fierce competition between the two sides may continue until the final voting day. The winner may win by a narrow margin of 1% to 2%, and the cohesion of the camp will become the decisive factor. On the same day, Quan Ningshi, Minister of the election Countermeasures of the national power party, said that "only by holding the last 100 meters can we win", and the victory or defeat may depend on the last week. According to South Korea's election law, the new poll results will be banned from publication from March 3. The media can only quote the previous poll data for reporting. I'm afraid it will not be known until the final billing results are released. (Xinhua News Agency)