The agricultural and rural economy is steadily improving, and increasing autumn grain production has become a foregone conclusion
2023-10-24
In the first three quarters, the agricultural and rural economy showed a stable and positive trend. The abundant harvest of summer grain and early rice has been achieved, and the area of autumn grain has steadily increased. The per capita disposable income of rural residents has actually increased by 7.3% year-on-year. Experts say that agriculture has reaped another bumper harvest, farmers have steadily increased their income, and rural areas are stable and peaceful, providing strong support for promoting sustained economic recovery, accelerating the construction of a new development pattern, and focusing on promoting high-quality development. The increase in autumn grain production has become a foregone conclusion. This year, there has been another bumper harvest of grain, and the ability to ensure food supply has steadily improved. Zeng Yande, Chief Agronomist of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs and Director of the Development Planning Department, introduced that this year's grain production has overcome the impact of rare "rotten rain" in the Huanghuai River, severe floods in the northeast of North China, and local droughts in the northwest. The yield is expected to reach a new historical high, maintaining over 1.3 trillion kilograms for 9 consecutive years. A bumper harvest of summer grain and early rice was achieved, with a summer grain yield of 292.26 billion catties, a slight decrease of 2.55 billion catties compared to the previous year, still at the second highest level in history; The yield of early rice was 56.67 billion catties, an increase of 430 million catties, and an increase in yield for four consecutive years. The increase in autumn grain production has become a foregone conclusion, and the area of autumn grain has steadily increased. Except for local disasters, most areas have a good match of light, temperature, and water, showing an overall trend of increasing production. According to the agricultural situation dispatch of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, as of October 22, the national autumn grain harvest has reached 81.3%. From the current situation, increasing autumn grain production can fully achieve the goal of 'supplementing summer with autumn', "said Pan Wenbo, Director of the Planting Management Department of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs. There are three main reasons for the growth trend of autumn grain. Firstly, the increase in autumn grain area lays the foundation for income growth. It is expected that this year's autumn grain area will reach 1.31 billion mu, an increase of over 7 million mu compared to the previous year; Secondly, the initial effect of increasing yield on a large scale is crucial for increasing income. Experts estimate that the increase in yield in 300 key counties has contributed 73% to grain harvest, effectively offsetting the impact of disasters such as floods and droughts on grain production; In addition, the overall weather conditions this year are good. "Although local disasters are severe, most of the main production areas have moderate rainfall and sufficient light and heat, which is conducive to crop growth and development, as well as yield formation," said Pan Wenbo. Why can we overcome the impact of natural disasters such as floods and droughts this year and achieve a bumper grain harvest? According to Pan Wenbo's analysis, firstly, the local disaster is severe, while the national disaster is relatively mild. According to agricultural scheduling, so far this year, natural disasters have caused a total of 145 million acres of crops to be affected nationwide, which is more than 28.5 million acres less than the same period last year and 108 million acres less than the average value in the past five years. Secondly, the drought has been relatively mild this year. This year, drought in China accounts for 30% of the total affected area, significantly lower than the annual average. Thirdly, areas that were not affected by the disaster increased production significantly, making up for the losses in the disaster area. The supply of "rice bags" and "vegetable baskets" is sufficient. Since the beginning of this year, the international grain market has been complex and volatile, with sharp price fluctuations. And China is expected to have another bumper harvest in grain production this year, with high grain inventories, timely and effective market regulation, and overall stable prices. Liu Han, the head of the Market and Information Technology Department of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, introduced that China's rice supply and demand have been balanced this year, with prices slightly rising. The average purchase price in September was 1.4 yuan per kilogram, which is 0.7% higher than in January. Wheat production remained at a relatively high level, with prices falling in the first half of the year and stabilizing and rebounding in the third quarter. In September
Edit：He Chuanning Responsible editor：Su Suiyue
Source：ECONOMIC DAILY
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