Pigs fell to 6 yuan a catty, and the central collection and storage came again. Will they fall?
2022-03-16
6 yuan a catty! When the price of live pigs falls to a low level, pig raising enterprises are facing the situation of "selling one for one". The price of live pigs fell to about 6 yuan per catty "I want to support my family by raising some pigs. As a result, I can't sell at all. I lost 80000 directly last year." Lao Zhang, who lives in Zhumadian City, Henan Province, told Zhongxin finance and economics reporters. Faced with the purchase price of 5 or 6 yuan a catty, he has been considering whether to give up the sideline of raising pigs. Not only pig farmers suffered heavy losses, but also large-scale breeding enterprises suffered losses one after another. China news finance reporter found that the performance of pig breeding enterprises that have disclosed performance information has generally decreased or suffered losses. For example, the 2021 performance forecast disclosed by Zhengbang technology shows that the net profit loss attributable to the shareholders of the listed company is expected to be 18.2 billion yuan to 19.7 billion yuan, a decrease of 416.84% to 442.96% over the same period of the previous year. Losses ranked first among pig breeding enterprises. In 2022, the situation did not improve, and the price of "second elder martial brother" fell further. According to the pig sales briefing released by muyuan Co., Ltd., from January to February 2022, the average sales price of commercial pigs of the company was 12.38 yuan / kg, down 16.07% from December 2021. From January to February 2022, the overall price of commercial pigs showed a downward trend. According to the pig and feed price information jointly released by the price monitoring center of the national development and Reform Commission and Zhuo Chuang information, the national pig feed price ratio was 3.74 in the first week of March, down 3.36% month on month. According to the current price and cost, the loss of pig breeding heads in the future is 205.33 yuan. Pork prices also fell The decline in pig prices also led to a decline in pork prices. According to the monitoring of the Ministry of agriculture and rural areas, from February 28 to March 6, the average ex factory price of white strip meat was 18.93 yuan / kg, a month on month decrease of 1.6% and a year-on-year decrease of 50.7%. China news finance reporter visited a number of supermarkets in Beijing and found that pork prices have fallen in recent times. In a supermarket in Xicheng District, Beijing, the price of front hip tip and rear hip tip is 12.9 yuan a kilogram and that of streaky pork is 16.8 yuan a kilogram, down about two yuan per kilogram compared with two months ago. "The front tip with skin is 6.98 yuan a catty, the streaky pork is 8.99 yuan a catty, the front elbow is 9.98 yuan a catty, and the rear elbow is 7.99 yuan a catty." This is the price of pork in a supermarket in Fengtai District, Beijing. When the China News financial reporter visited here in mid January, the price tag also showed that the front tip with skin was 8.98 yuan a catty and the rear elbow was 9.98 yuan a catty. Why did pig prices bottom again? "This is mainly affected by both supply and demand." Pig industry analyst Feng Yonghui told Zhongxin finance and economics. "In terms of demand, on the one hand, it is now in the off-season of seasonal consumption. During the Spring Festival, the south makes bacon and Beijing kills new year pigs, overdrawing part of the post Festival demand." Feng Yonghui said, "on the other hand, one third of pork consumption is in the catering industry. The epidemic has affected the catering industry, and then affected pork consumption." "In terms of supply, the production capacity of fertile sows began to decline since July 2021, which also means that the pork supply will not begin to decline until May and June this year, and is still at a high level." Feng Yonghui said. According to Chen Guanghua, deputy director of the animal husbandry and Veterinary Bureau of the Ministry of agriculture and rural areas, there were 449 million pigs in the country at the end of last year, a year-on-year increase of 10.5%. These pigs will be listed in the next six months, that is, from January to June. Therefore, the pork market supply must be at a high level in the first half of this year. Prices may continue to fall, and the official launched the third batch of pork collection and storage in the year Recently, the Symposium on pig enterprises held by the Ministry of agriculture and rural areas mentioned that the price of pigs is in the downward channel. In addition, the price of bulk feed raw materials continues to rise. At present, the specific price of pig grain has entered the level-1 early warning range of excessive decline, and it is expected that the downward pressure on prices in the next two months is still large. "In March and April, the pig price may fall to the bottom of about 12 yuan per kilogram, and the breeding loss will increase." Chen Guanghua said. In Feng Yonghui's view, the deep decline in pig prices will continue for some time. "However, when the supply of pigs drops in May and June this year, the price of pigs may rebound." "On the whole, the superimposed demand of capacity release is poor, and the low points of previous pig cycles appear around May. It is expected that the low point of pig price in 2022 will appear from April to June, and the market may improve in the second half of the year." Zhuo Chuang information analyst Ma Liyuan said. In order to stabilize the market price of live pigs, the national development and Reform Commission announced on March 15 that it would start the collection and storage of the third batch of central frozen pork reserves with relevant departments this year and guide all localities to speed up the collection and storage. We will continue to work with relevant departments to adjust reserves, further strengthen the collection and storage when necessary, promote the return of pig prices to a reasonable range, and promote the smooth operation of the pig market. Have you bought pork recently? How much has the price been reduced? (Xinhua News Agency)
Edit：He Chuanning Responsible editor：Su Suiyue
Source：Ecns.cn
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