The sales price of commercial housing decreased steadily in September -- the quality of "golden nine" in the real estate market is insufficient
2021-10-21
According to the statistical data on the changes of commercial housing sales prices released by the National Bureau of statistics on October 20, the sales prices of commercial housing in 70 large and medium-sized cities showed a slight decline month on month in September, and the year-on-year increase continued to fall. Sheng Guoqing, chief statistician of the city Department of the National Bureau of statistics, introduced that the sales prices of new commercial houses and second-hand houses in all line cities were flat or decreased month on month in September. It is estimated that the sales price of newly-built commercial housing in first tier cities changed from a month-on-month increase of 0.3% to flat; The sales price of second-hand houses in first tier cities decreased by 0.4% from 0.2% last month. The sales price of newly-built commercial housing in second tier cities changed from a month-on-month increase of 0.2% to flat; The sales price of second-hand houses decreased by 0.1% month on month from flat last month. The sales price of newly-built commercial housing in the third tier cities decreased by 0.2% month on month from flat last month; The sales price of second-hand houses decreased by 0.2% month on month, an increase of 0.1 percentage points over the previous month. The year-on-year increase in sales prices of new commercial houses and second-hand houses in all line cities continued to fall. In September, the sales prices of new commercial houses and second-hand houses in first tier cities increased by 5.3% and 7.7% respectively year-on-year, down 0.4 and 1.4 percentage points respectively from the previous month. The sales prices of new commercial houses and second-hand houses in second tier cities increased by 4.1% and 3.0% respectively year-on-year, down 0.3 and 0.2 percentage points respectively from the previous month. The sales prices of new commercial houses and second-hand houses in third tier cities increased by 2.3% and 1.4% respectively year-on-year, down 0.5 percentage points from the previous month. The reporter found that among the 70 large and medium-sized cities, the price of new commercial housing in 36 cities decreased compared with the previous month, 7 were flat and 27 were up. In terms of second-hand housing, the prices of 52 cities decreased compared with the previous month, one remained flat and 17 rose. In September, the number of cities with new commercial housing and second-hand housing prices falling month on month continued to increase. In July and August, the number of cities with new housing prices falling month on month was only 16 and 20 respectively, and increased to 36 in September. There were only 26 and 34 cities where second-hand housing prices fell month on month in July and August respectively, and increased to 52 in September. Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Zhongyuan Real estate, believes that the tightening of real estate credit is the main reason for the cooling of the market. In the third quarter, the bank lending cycle is generally more than 3 months, and some cities even need more than 6 months. The queuing phenomenon of housing loans in some hot cities in East and South China is serious, affecting the transaction of the real estate market. Zou LAN, director of the financial market department of the people's Bank of China, said recently that the amount of individual housing loans in the first three quarters remained stable, basically matching the amount of commercial housing sales in the same period. Among them, house prices in a few cities have risen too fast, the investment of personal housing loans has been constrained, and the rising speed of house prices has been restrained. After house prices stabilize, the relationship between housing loan supply and demand in these cities will also return to normal. Recently, Evergrande and other individual real estate enterprises have a debt crisis. Many people in the industry believe that this is also a reason for the decline of market trading volume. In this regard, Zou Lan said that the problems of Evergrande group are individual phenomena in the real estate industry. After the macro-control of real estate in recent years, especially after the establishment of the long-term mechanism of real estate, the land price, house price and expectation of the domestic real estate market remain stable, most real estate enterprises operate steadily, the financial indicators are good, and the real estate industry is generally healthy. Fu Linghui, spokesman of the National Bureau of statistics, said on October 19 that since this year, by improving the long-term mechanism of the real estate market, curbing unreasonable demand, promoting the stable release of rigid demand, and restricting some real estate enterprises from blindly expanding by borrowing, the real estate market has generally stabilized, and real estate investment, sales and house prices have gradually stabilized. In the next stage, with multi-agent supply, multi-channel guarantee, simultaneous purchase and rent, the housing system continues to be improved, the market subjects tend to be rational, and the real estate market is expected to maintain stable development. In the first three quarters, the added value of real estate increased by an average of 4.8% in two years, down 1.3 percentage points from the first half of the year. On the whole, the impact of real estate on economic growth is limited. (outlook new era)
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